College Football Picks- Week 7
Like many other teams in the college football world, I need to seriously rebound with a dominating performance in my College Football Picks- Week 7.
After a solid start to my CFB picks, things have gotten a little shaky. When all was said and done, I finished with a 3-7 record (my worst week so far). As usual, if you want to go back and review my selections, you may do so at College Football Picks- Week 6.
As I look down through the list of games for Saturday, I am not feeling very confident. The good news is that there are a lot of really good games lined-up for this weekend. The problem is that almost every match-up is so “even”, that it is very, very difficult to predict winners and losers.
Last week we saw 7 of the Top 25 teams lose (3 in the Top 10), and I can’t wait to see how all of the drama unfolds this Saturday! So let’s take a look at my College Football Picks- Week 7, as I try to regain my confidence…and my pride!
1. Iowa (4-1) at Indiana (4-2)
This is one of many games that can go either way. The Hoosiers are coming of a loss to “TTFDB”, 49-26, but they played pretty well. When it comes to offensive stats (Points, Yards Passing, Yards Rushing), the two teams are fairly equal. But when it comes to defense, the Hawkeyes definitely have the advantage. Both teams have a a couple “nice” wins under their belt, but again, I would give Iowa a slight advantage when it comes to “quality” wins. This should be a good game in the Big 10.
Winner: Iowa, 27-23
2. Michigan State (3-2) at Penn State (4-1)
This is another interesting game in the Big 10. The Spartans are coming off a home loss to Northwestern, 29-19, and the Nittany Lions are coming off a Bye week. I’m sure that Penn State wants to get back on the field and get rid of that bitter taste that is left-over in their mouths from two weeks ago. Likewise, I’m sure that Michigan State wants to get back on the field in order to redeem themselves…and salvage their season. The Spartans have not looked good in their first 5 games, and I just can’t see them getting things turned around against a rested, and angry Penn State team.
Winner: Penn State, 41-24
3. Missouri (3-2) at Alabama (6-0)
Missouri had a very, very tough loss this past Saturday. If you missed the game…it was wild!!! The Tigers played at South Carolina in a “Monsoon”! It absolutely poured for almost the entire game, and there was even a lightening delay near the very end of the 4th quarter. After all kinds of crazy plays and several lead changes, the Gamecocks hit a late field goal to win, 37-35. But Missouri has proven themselves to be a good football team (Their other loss was to #2 Georgia), and they can score a lot of points. The problem…they have to play Alabama! Up to this point the Crimson Tide have looked “unstopable”, and I’m not going to pick against them!
Winner: Alabama, 52-27
4. Miami (5-1) at Virginia (3-2)
Last season these two teams played in a high-scoring, very exciting game down in Miami. The Hurricanes pulled away in the 4th quarter and won by a couple scores. This year, Miami will again be attempting to avoid a big upset when they head to Virginia. The Cavaliers seem to be improved from last season, and they have played descent football thus far. The Hurricanes can’t afford to come out “flat” and fall behind like they did against FSU this past Saturday. If Miami plays with focus and intensity, then they should come away with the victory.
Winner: Miami, 30-20
5. West Virginia (5-0) at Iowa State (2-3)
Don’t be fooled! Iowa State is a much better team than their record indicates. Each team has had a game cancelled this season due to weather, otherwise West Virginia would probably be (6-0) and Iowa State would be (3-3). The Cyclones have had a couple tough loses in contests that were very competitive. I thought hard about picking Iowa State in the upset, but in the end I don’t think that they will be able to score enough points. The Cyclones are only averaging about 333 total yards and 24 points per game. As I have mentioned before, the Mountaineers are a very balanced team on both sides of the ball, and they can be very explosive on offense.
Winner: West Virginia, 34-27
6. Texas A&M (4-2) at South Carolina (3-2)
I have been impressed with the Aggies in 2018, and I have found myself rooting for them because of their toughness and resiliency. The Gamecocks have been inconsistent in their first 5 games, looking both very good and very bad at various times. Two stats that “jump out” at me for Texas A&M are “yards rushing” and “rush yards allowed”. The Aggies are averaging about 221 yards per game on the ground, while only giving up about 79 rush yards per game on defense. Keep in mind they have already played Kentucky, Clemson, and Alabama! I’ll take Texas A&M in another close game!
Winner: Texas A&M, 34-27
7. Baylor (4-2) at Texas (5-1)
The point spread for this game is 14 points in favor of Texas, and Texas has jumped to #9 in the AP Top 25. I think that people are giving the Longhorns way too much credit for their win over Oklahoma! From my perspective, this game has “Potential Upset” written all over it! Baylor is an improving team that is well-coached, and the Bears are averaging nearly 500 yards per game on offense. Texas better “buckle-up” and get ready to play or they’re going to get beat! In the end I think that the Longhorns will find a way to pull-out the victory, but it will be much more difficult than people are anticipating.
Winner: Texas, 37-30
8. Colorado (5-0) at USC (3-2)
Many of the “experts” are taking the Trojans in this one, but I think that it is foolish to discount what the Buffaloes have done this season! Colorado is a good team, and they are coming off a very big win against Arizona State. The Trojans really struggled in their first 3 games, but have put together back-to-back wins in which they played much better. I am really uncertain about how this game is going to play out, and it would not surprise me if USC found a way to win. However, I am sticking with the “Undefeated” Buffaloes!
Winner: Colorado, 37-33
9. Washington (5-1) at Oregon (4-1)
I think that this is going to be one of the best games of the weekend! This is a huge game in the Pac-12 for many reasons. The winner of this game will become the front-runner in the Pac-12 North, and the winner will keep their playoff hopes alive. Of course the key match-up in this contest will be the Washington Defense verses the Oregon Offense. The Huskies are only giving up 13.7 points per game while the Duck’s offense is averaging 45.6 points per game. Oregon “Blew” the game against Stanford at home in week #4, and I don’t think that they will make the same mistake twice!
Winner: Oregon, 30-27
10. Georgia (6-0) at LSU (5-1)
I cannot wait to see this game! The outcome will have major implications not only in the SEC, but also nationally! The Tigers have probably “over-achieved” up to this point in the season, and they have played very well (with the exception of the 4th quarter last week). I like coach Orgeron, and I will be rooting for LSU to pull-off the big upset. But Georgia is the #2 ranked team in the nation for a reason. On offense the Bulldogs are very well-balanced, and on defense they are only giving up 13 points per game. This game will be hard-hitting and action-packed! The Tigers will keep it close, but Georgia will make enough plays to come away with the win.
Winner: Georgia, 33-23
There is also another big game taking place in the Big 10 on Saturday night. Michigan (5-1) will be hosting Wisconsin (4-1). As a life-long Michigan fan I have decided not to make any picks involving the Wolverines.
As college football fans you can appreciate the fact that when it comes to “Our Team” we cannot think clearly or logically. It is hard to get past our anger, our frustrations, and our hope! You can view my previous comments at College Football Picks- Week 1.